New newbies: Guys named for their first match of their career, or guys coming back from injury who are dirt cheap.
About to burst: These fellas have played two matches this year, and if you don't jump on them this round, their price will explode. Basically just a warning signal.
Cheapened stars: They may not have exactly 'fallen from grace', but it's not unusual for a gun to average 100 yet still see a price drop of $100,000. These guys are the perfect trade-up targets, and a smart selection here is just as important as picking the right rookie.
No Tom Couch! That has been the biggest disappointment of the selection news this week. Here are the other (possible debutants):
Billy Longer - Brisbane, Ruck ($161,600)
A very exciting player, Longer was unlucky not to play round one after shaking off injuries. I was hoping he would play later in the year so we could cash in Giles/Redden/Stephenson, but a future star nonetheless.
Shaun Edwards - GWS, Def ($113,200)
Don't know much about this bloke. Rebounding defender/midfield I'm pretty sure. Worth a look, defender rookies are few and far between this year.
Adam Treloar - GWS, For/Mid ($113,200)
A very handy DPP. Watch him for a couple of games, and might be a saviour come bye time.
Liam Sumner - GWS, Mid ($151,600)
Even though he was touted as the next Dale Thomas in the pre-season (lucky him!), he has no right to be on watch-list.
Ryan Neates - WC, Mid ($113,200)
Next week: Priddis In, Neates Out. Sorry buddy.
Jacob Brennan - WC, Def ($113,200)
If he performs alright, he is a chance of keeping his place. Perfect opportunity against the Giants too.
Brad Hill - Hawthorn, Mid ($106,600)
I hope he gets a match because there are some big raps on Hill. Nothing guaranteed this early though. Watch him closely.
Sam Shaw - Adelaide, Def ($113,200)
Don't get your hopes up yet, only on the extended seven man bench.
Sam Kerridge - Adelaide, For/Mid ($106,600)
The pre-season favourite has been placed on the extended bench, don't expect too much.
George Horlin-Smith - Geelong, For ($113,200)
You may think, just another rookie named on the Cats' extended bench - he's no chance. But that isn't the case. Coach Chris Scott spoke very fondly of him during the week and if he is selected, you need to keep an eye on him.
About to burst:
These are the approximate break-evens of rookies who have played two matches. Those who have a negative BE are likely to have something around 0 against next week too. Too many to run through them all, but if you need another rookie - these guys are the ones.
James Magner: -135, That's negative 135 by the way. This year's Michael Barlow in my books.
Billie Smedts: -19
Josh Mellington: 20
Aaron Hall: -19
Steve Morris: -36
Brandon Ellis: -26, He's been impressive, without being outstanding. Keep your faith with him, he'll continue to steadily rise in price.
Clay Smith: -58
Claye Beams: -22
Terry Milera: -95
Rhys Stanley: -74
Adam Kennedy: -102
Jon Giles: -111, He's paying off if he was your second ruckman. Brogan in this week adds another twist to the tale.
Tom Bugg: -76
Jarrad Redden: -63
Broc McCauley: -21
Jack Hombsh: -59
Toby Greene: -77, A genuine star. Weirdly, the only coach I knew who had him from round one was, my dad!
Tim Mohr: -59
Jeremy Cameron: -29
Dylan Shiel: -28
Devon Smith: -29
Jacob Townsen: -15
Curtly Hampton: -9
Cheapened Guns:
Here are some genuine premiums and there approximate break-evens. In other words, whack them on your watch-list. We'll go into more detail once their prices have actually dropped.
FWD:
Steve Johnson: 227
Matthew Pavlich: 184
RUCKS:
Todd Goldstein: 217
Dean Cox: 203
MID:
Dane Swan: 209
Michael Rischitelli: 181
Tom Rockliff: 173
Travis Boak: 165
Matthew Boyd: 166
DEF:
Greg Broughton: 175
Heath Shaw: 164
Missed anyone? Who are you interested in? We want to know below! No rego required to comment!