Let's have a look at the relevant players this week:
Freshmen (newbies): Guys named for their first match of their career, or guys coming back from injury who are dirt cheap.
About to burst: These fellas have played two matches this year, and if you don't jump on them this round, their price will explode. Basically just a warning signal.
Rookie watch: These guys have been in our teams from the start, but by monitoring their break-even every week it's easier to gauge when to jump off them, even if they've served you well. Remember, there's no room for sentiment in SuperCoach.
Cheapened stars: They may not have exactly 'fallen from grace', but it's not unusual for a gun to average 100 yet still see a price drop of $100,000. These guys are the perfect trade-up targets, and a smart selection here is just as important as picking the right rookie.
Taylor Adams (GWS) $136,600; FOR/MID
High draft pick, and in a team with youngsters all at the same stage as him. Not yet.
Sam Reid (GWS) $113,200; MID
You may remember him as the former Western Bulldog who was shockingly injury prone. Very tempting if he puts two good games together.
Kyal Horsley (GC) $128,700; MID
His form for the GC seconds side has been outstanding. He is a mature recruit and a ball magnet. Love to see him cement his spot in the Suns' side.
Tommy Walsh (Syd) $113,200; FOR
Again, the Irishman is named on the Swans' extended bench. Don't hold you breath though.
Jarryd Lyons (Adel) $113,200; FOR
Aaron Young (Port) $113,200; FOR
Don't be disappointed if these boys don't make the final cut.
About to burst:
James McDonald: If you haven't got Jimmy and you have Kennedy, C. Smith of Wingard in the middle, it is time to down-grade.
Adam Treloar: Treloar has been very impressive in his first two outings and his DPP certianly makes his very tempting. Make McDonald your first priority though.
Billie Smedts: Popular R1 selection Billie is back! Terrific news which will sure up a lot of benches, and possibly even save a doughnut.
While this break-evens can't be exact due the SC's methodical and mysterious scoring system, they are an excellent indication of what your rookies need to score in order to increase in price. All of the fantasy relevant players are below.
Tom Bugg: Ave 80, BE: -29
Jack Hombsch: Ave 73, BE: -24
Dylan Shiel: Ave 61, BE: -20
Steve Morris: Ave 62, BE: -15
Toby Greene: Ave 75, BE: -15
Brandon Ellis: Ave 59, BE: -11
Jack Newnes: Ave 43, BE: -5
Devon Smith: Ave 60, BE: -4
Curtly Hampton: Ave 41, BE: 2
Adam Tomlinson: Ave 50, BE: 4
Israel Folau: Ave 29, BE: 11
James Magner: Ave 80, BE: 12
Stephen Coniglio: Ave 58, BE: 15
Steve Motlop: Ave 71, BE: 16
Jacob Townsend: Ave 35, BE: 30
Cameron Guthrie: Ave 59, BE 31
Terry Milera: Ave 67, BE: 33
Claye Beams: Ave 64, BE: 34
Ayce Cordy: Ave 38, BE: 34
Jamie Cripps: Ave 33, BE: 38
Paul Bower: Ave 64, BE: 43
Chad Wingard: Ave 43, BE: 54
Dean Cox - Down $84,600 (Ave 99)
Dustin Martin - Down $79,900 (Ave 77)
Jack Riewoldt - Down $76,300 (Ave 64)
Matthew Pavlich - Down $74,900 (Ave 86)
Josh J. Kennedy - Down $71,900 (Ave 71)
Ryan O'Keefe - Down $70,600 (Ave 59)
Cox's fantastic year last year certainly did him no favours this year. His price has already plummeted $84 thousand despite keeping an average of 99. Ryan O'Keefe is one to keep your eye on.
Did I forget anyone? Need a hand with rookie problems? Comment below!